NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OHIO LSU
Points 73.3 78.3
Total Points   151.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 23.5
Points From Free Throws 14.7 17.3
Shooting OHIO LSU
Field Goals Made 24.7 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 56.3
Field Goal % 41.7% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 14.7 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 23.6
Free Throw % 74.1% 73.3%
Ball Control OHIO LSU
Rebounds 30.7 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 11.3
Turnovers 10.2 12.5
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.1
Steals 7.2 6.1
Fouls 14.8 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OHIO LSU
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 71.1
% of Possessions with OHIO LSU
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 23.6%
Player Fouled 20.5% 20.5%
Turnover 14.1% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken OHIO LSU
Shot Blocked 7.4% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 34.0%