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Texas St at AR Lit Rock
Fri Jan 15, 2021
7:30pm ET
Little Rock, AR
Texas St at AR Lit Rock: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Little Rock by 5.5, Total Points: 133
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TXST | adv | UALR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-14-1 | 19-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-1 | 13-7-0 | |
| Streak | W7 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 7-4-0 | 13-5-0 | |
| Away | 11-10-1 | 6-10-0 |
Texas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | AR Lit Rock | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Oklahoma | +16.0 | L by 39 | -23.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UTSA | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | McNeese St | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Utah | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | TX-Arlington | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Texas | +19.5 | L by 19 | +0.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Jarvis Christian | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 12/15 | Away | Sam Hous St | +4.5 | W by 13 | +17.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Le Tourneau | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 12/21 | Away | Houston | +27.5 | L by 35 | -7.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | James Mad | +12.0 | L by 17 | -5.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Coastal Car | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Marshall | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Arkansas St | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | UL Monroe | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisiana | -1.0 | L by 18 | -19.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Arkansas St | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Troy | +9.0 | L by 13 | -4.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Louisiana | +8.5 | L by 20 | -11.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | S Alabama | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | S Mississippi | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | App State | +8.0 | W by 7 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Ball St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | S Alabama | +2.5 | L by 17 | -14.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Mississippi | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | GA Southern | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Georgia St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | UL Monroe | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Troy | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/05 | Neutral | Old Dominion | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | S Mississippi | +2.5 | W by 16 | +18.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Troy | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | James Mad | +12.0 | L by 5 | +7.0 |
AR Lit Rock Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Texas St | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | IL-Chicago | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | N Illinois | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Georgia St | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Georgia St | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Tulsa | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Ball St | -2.0 | W by 26 | +24.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Arkansas St | -1.5 | W by 11 | +9.5 |
| 12/07 | Away | Central Ark | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Winthrop | +1.5 | L by 17 | -15.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | UTSA | -6.5 | W by 9 | +2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Murray St | +1.5 | W by 14 | +15.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Jksnville St | -2.5 | L by 30 | -32.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | TN Tech | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | TN State | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | SIU Edward | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | E Illinois | -8.5 | L by 2 | -10.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | TN Martin | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | S Indiana | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Lindenwood | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | SE Missouri | -12.0 | W by 5 | -7.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | SIU Edward | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | E Illinois | -2.5 | W by 24 | +21.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | TN Martin | -3.0 | W by 20 | +17.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | W Illinois | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Morehead St | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | S Indiana | -10.0 | W by 18 | +8.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | SE Missouri | -7.0 | W by 22 | +15.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Lindenwood | -11.5 | W by 9 | -2.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | TN State | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | TN Tech | -13.5 | W by 38 | +24.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | W Illinois | -5.5 | W by 25 | +19.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Morehead St | +4.5 | L by 14 | -9.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Fairfield | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| UALR -5.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2972 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Little Rock won the game 2076 times (69.9%).
- The team like Texas State won the game 896 times (30.1%).
- The team like Little Rock did better against the spread, going 1503-1418-51 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 114 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Texas State did better against the spread, going 58-56 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -6.0 | -5.5 |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/15 07:14 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 06:08 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 05:17 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 04:11 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 03:16 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/15 03:08 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 01:23 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 11:14 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 10:53 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/15 10:05 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/15 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 01/15 09:02 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 11:35 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/14 10:11 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 09:41 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/14 07:56 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 07:02 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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