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Texas St at AR Lit Rock
Sat Jan 16, 2021
5:00pm ET
Little Rock, AR
Texas St at AR Lit Rock: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Little Rock by 3, Total Points: 130.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TXST | adv | UALR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-14-1 | 19-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-1 | 13-7-0 | |
| Streak | W7 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 7-4-0 | 13-5-0 | |
| Away | 11-10-1 | 6-10-0 |
Texas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | AR Lit Rock | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Oklahoma | +16.0 | L by 39 | -23.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UTSA | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | McNeese St | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Utah | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | TX-Arlington | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Texas | +19.5 | L by 19 | +0.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Jarvis Christian | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 12/15 | Away | Sam Hous St | +4.5 | W by 13 | +17.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Le Tourneau | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 12/21 | Away | Houston | +27.5 | L by 35 | -7.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | James Mad | +12.0 | L by 17 | -5.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Coastal Car | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Marshall | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Arkansas St | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | UL Monroe | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisiana | -1.0 | L by 18 | -19.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Arkansas St | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Troy | +9.0 | L by 13 | -4.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Louisiana | +8.5 | L by 20 | -11.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | S Alabama | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | S Mississippi | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | App State | +8.0 | W by 7 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Ball St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | S Alabama | +2.5 | L by 17 | -14.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Mississippi | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | GA Southern | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Georgia St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | UL Monroe | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Troy | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/05 | Neutral | Old Dominion | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | S Mississippi | +2.5 | W by 16 | +18.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Troy | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | James Mad | +12.0 | L by 5 | +7.0 |
AR Lit Rock Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Texas St | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | IL-Chicago | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | N Illinois | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Georgia St | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Georgia St | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Tulsa | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Ball St | -2.0 | W by 26 | +24.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Arkansas St | -1.5 | W by 11 | +9.5 |
| 12/07 | Away | Central Ark | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Winthrop | +1.5 | L by 17 | -15.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | UTSA | -6.5 | W by 9 | +2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Murray St | +1.5 | W by 14 | +15.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Jksnville St | -2.5 | L by 30 | -32.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | TN Tech | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | TN State | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | SIU Edward | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | E Illinois | -8.5 | L by 2 | -10.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | TN Martin | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | S Indiana | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Lindenwood | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | SE Missouri | -12.0 | W by 5 | -7.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | SIU Edward | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | E Illinois | -2.5 | W by 24 | +21.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | TN Martin | -3.0 | W by 20 | +17.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | W Illinois | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Morehead St | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | S Indiana | -10.0 | W by 18 | +8.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | SE Missouri | -7.0 | W by 22 | +15.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Lindenwood | -11.5 | W by 9 | -2.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | TN State | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | TN Tech | -13.5 | W by 38 | +24.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | W Illinois | -5.5 | W by 25 | +19.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Morehead St | +4.5 | L by 14 | -9.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Fairfield | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| UALR -3.0 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3037 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Little Rock won the game 1882 times (62.0%).
- The team like Texas State won the game 1155 times (38.0%).
- The team like Little Rock did better against the spread, going 1526-1464-47 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 101 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Little Rock did better against the spread, going 56-45 (55.4% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.5 | -3.0 |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/16 04:59 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 04:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/16 04:23 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 02:36 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/16 02:23 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 01:11 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 11:56 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 11:08 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/16 10:01 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/16 09:56 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/16 09:17 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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