NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXST ULM
Points 73.8 66.7
Total Points   140.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 13.1
Points From Free Throws 16.7 16.6
Shooting TXST ULM
Field Goals Made 25.8 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 54.2
Field Goal % 48.9% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 15.4 14.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 16.7 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 24.9
Free Throw % 70.3% 66.8%
Ball Control TXST ULM
Rebounds 33.9 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 10.8
Turnovers 11.7 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.9
Steals 6.3 6.7
Fouls 17.2 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: UL Monroe

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXST ULM
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 69.7
% of Possessions with TXST ULM
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 19.3% 18.0%
Player Fouled 24.3% 24.3%
Turnover 16.5% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXST ULM
Shot Blocked 3.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 29.9%