NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OHIO AKR
Points 70.9 71.0
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 21.9
Points From Free Throws 13.3 14.9
Shooting OHIO AKR
Field Goals Made 25.0 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 55.0
Field Goal % 43.1% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 13.3 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 20.4
Free Throw % 74.1% 72.9%
Ball Control OHIO AKR
Rebounds 31.8 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 9.9
Turnovers 8.6 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.2
Steals 5.5 4.0
Fouls 15.5 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Akron

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OHIO AKR
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 67.8
% of Possessions with OHIO AKR
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 27.8%
Player Fouled 23.0% 22.5%
Turnover 12.4% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken OHIO AKR
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 29.3%