NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PUR WIS
Points 78.6 69.5
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 21.8
Points From Free Throws 16.4 10.2
Shooting PUR WIS
Field Goals Made 27.5 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 61.3
Field Goal % 52.5% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 42.3% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 16.4 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 13.6
Free Throw % 73.0% 75.1%
Ball Control PUR WIS
Rebounds 36.6 28.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 20.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 8.5
Turnovers 10.0 7.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 1.3
Steals 4.1 5.9
Fouls 13.2 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Wisconsin

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PUR WIS
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 69.1
% of Possessions with PUR WIS
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 29.1%
Player Fouled 25.9% 19.3%
Turnover 14.7% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PUR WIS
Shot Blocked 2.2% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 23.1%