NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PUR ORE
Points 75.0 75.5
Total Points   150.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 23.1
Points From Free Throws 12.6 13.0
Shooting PUR ORE
Field Goals Made 27.4 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 55.7
Field Goal % 46.3% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 62.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 12.6 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 17.0
Free Throw % 73.7% 76.0%
Ball Control PUR ORE
Rebounds 32.9 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 8.2
Turnovers 9.5 10.5
Blocked Shots 1.6 3.1
Steals 5.7 5.9
Fouls 14.5 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Purdue

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PUR ORE
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 66.5
% of Possessions with PUR ORE
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 31.0%
Player Fouled 21.2% 21.1%
Turnover 13.8% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PUR ORE
Shot Blocked 5.6% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.4% 26.6%