NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PUR IND
Points 80.8 66.9
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 41.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.0 15.5
Points From Free Throws 18.0 9.7
Shooting PUR IND
Field Goals Made 26.9 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 60.3
Field Goal % 44.8% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 42.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 18.0 9.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 14.7
Free Throw % 72.8% 65.9%
Ball Control PUR IND
Rebounds 42.8 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.1 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 7.8
Turnovers 8.7 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.6
Steals 6.2 4.6
Fouls 13.2 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Purdue

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PUR IND
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 75.6 69.0
% of Possessions with PUR IND
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 53.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 22.1%
Player Fouled 24.3% 18.7%
Turnover 12.3% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PUR IND
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 37.1% 21.1%