NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PUR WVU
Points 86.3 65.9
Total Points   152.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 33.3
Points From 3-Pointers 29.9 22.9
Points From Free Throws 17.0 9.6
Shooting PUR WVU
Field Goals Made 29.7 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 59.9
Field Goal % 50.5% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 40.6% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 17.0 9.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 13.7
Free Throw % 73.0% 70.4%
Ball Control PUR WVU
Rebounds 42.4 27.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.1 20.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 7.4
Turnovers 9.0 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.2
Steals 5.9 4.1
Fouls 12.8 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PUR WVU
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 67.8
% of Possessions with PUR WVU
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 29.1%
Player Fouled 23.6% 18.3%
Turnover 12.8% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PUR WVU
Shot Blocked 3.8% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 37.8% 19.8%