NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PUR PSU
Points 79.9 66.6
Total Points   146.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 22.4
Points From Free Throws 19.6 10.5
Shooting PUR PSU
Field Goals Made 27.2 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 61.5
Field Goal % 49.8% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 19.6 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 26.8 14.0
Free Throw % 73.0% 74.9%
Ball Control PUR PSU
Rebounds 44.0 26.6
Rebounds - Defensive 31.3 18.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 7.6
Turnovers 11.8 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.4
Steals 4.9 7.0
Fouls 12.6 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Purdue

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PUR PSU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 69.8
% of Possessions with PUR PSU
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 30.4%
Player Fouled 26.4% 17.7%
Turnover 16.7% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PUR PSU
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 40.3% 19.7%