NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PUR RUTG
Points 76.4 57.9
Total Points   134.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 15.9
Points From Free Throws 17.6 8.9
Shooting PUR RUTG
Field Goals Made 25.5 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 63.2
Field Goal % 46.1% 34.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 42.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 38.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 25.7%
Free Throws Made 17.6 8.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 13.1
Free Throw % 73.0% 67.7%
Ball Control PUR RUTG
Rebounds 46.7 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 33.3 19.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 9.9
Turnovers 12.3 8.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.6
Steals 5.4 6.9
Fouls 11.6 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Purdue

Expected Effect: +1.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PUR RUTG
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 70.9
% of Possessions with PUR RUTG
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 52.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 25.5%
Player Fouled 24.0% 16.6%
Turnover 17.6% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PUR RUTG
Shot Blocked 5.8% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 40.3% 22.9%