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Purdue at Maryland
Sat Jan 18, 2020
2:00pm ET
College Park, MD
Purdue at Maryland: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Maryland by 6.5, Total Points: 124.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PUR | adv | MD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-16-2 | 13-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-13-0 | 9-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-1 | 6-11-0 | |
| Away | 14-8-1 | 7-9-0 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Samford | -19.5 | W by 53 | +33.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Morehead St | -29.5 | W by 30 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Xavier | -17.0 | W by 12 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Marquette | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | TX Southern | -32.0 | W by 32 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Northwestern | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Iowa | -13.5 | W by 19 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Arizona | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Jacksonville | -32.5 | W by 43 | +10.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | E Kentucky | -29.0 | W by 27 | -2.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Maryland | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Illinois | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Nebraska | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Penn St | -18.0 | W by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Indiana | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Iowa | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Michigan | -18.0 | W by 32 | +14.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Northwestern | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Indiana | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Minnesota | -16.5 | W by 8 | -8.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Ohio St | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Rutgers | -14.5 | W by 28 | +13.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Michigan | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Michigan St | -10.0 | W by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Illinois | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Michigan St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Grambling St | -27.0 | W by 28 | +1.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Utah St | -11.5 | W by 39 | +27.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | NC State | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Connecticut | +7.0 | L by 15 | -8.0 |
Maryland Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Mt St Marys | -20.5 | W by 15 | -5.5 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Davidson | -11.5 | L by 3 | -14.5 |
| 11/12 | Neutral | UAB | -6.0 | L by 3 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Villanova | +6.5 | L by 17 | -10.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Maryland BC | -19.0 | W by 24 | +5.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | S Alabama | -15.0 | W by 13 | -2.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Rider | -17.0 | W by 27 | +10.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 40 | +17.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Nicholls | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | UCLA | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Coppin St | -29.5 | W by 22 | -7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Purdue | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois | +9.0 | W by 9 | +18.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Northwestern | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Michigan St | +1.0 | L by 2 | -1.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Iowa | +5.0 | W by 2 | +7.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Nebraska | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Rutgers | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Iowa | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Rutgers | +2.0 | W by 17 | +19.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Indiana | -9.0 | L by 5 | -14.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | L by 16 | -17.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Rutgers | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.0 | L by 31 | -27.0 |
| MD -6.5 | Open | -5.0 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2816 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Maryland won the game 2048 times (72.7%).
- The team like Purdue won the game 768 times (27.3%).
- The team like Maryland did better against the spread, going 1394-1377-45 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1806 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Purdue did better against the spread, going 894-872-40 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -- | -6.5 |
| Open | -5.0 | -- | -5.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/18 01:57 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:45 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 01/18 12:09 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:57 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:46 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 01/18 07:55 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/18 06:38 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:40 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 10:55 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/17 09:23 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
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