NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PUR CLEM
Points 75.8 69.3
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 23.3
Points From Free Throws 17.7 9.8
Shooting PUR CLEM
Field Goals Made 25.1 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 61.5
Field Goal % 44.0% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 17.7 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 12.6
Free Throw % 73.0% 77.8%
Ball Control PUR CLEM
Rebounds 40.9 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 29.5 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 7.5
Turnovers 8.5 7.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.4
Steals 4.5 4.4
Fouls 11.6 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Purdue

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PUR CLEM
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 69.0
% of Possessions with PUR CLEM
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 31.2%
Player Fouled 24.9% 16.7%
Turnover 12.3% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PUR CLEM
Shot Blocked 3.9% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 32.0% 20.2%