NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SBON DUQ
Points 67.5 67.0
Total Points   134.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 21.9
Points From Free Throws 14.7 13.4
Shooting SBON DUQ
Field Goals Made 23.3 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 53.5
Field Goal % 43.5% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 14.7 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 18.3
Free Throw % 77.3% 73.4%
Ball Control SBON DUQ
Rebounds 33.1 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 8.8
Turnovers 11.0 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.5
Steals 6.1 5.5
Fouls 14.9 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SBON DUQ
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 64.5
% of Possessions with SBON DUQ
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 28.1%
Player Fouled 21.3% 22.3%
Turnover 16.4% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SBON DUQ
Shot Blocked 6.7% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 26.8%