NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SBON GMU
Points 67.9 66.8
Total Points   134.7
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 20.0
Points From Free Throws 13.6 14.9
Shooting SBON GMU
Field Goals Made 23.1 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 50.6
Field Goal % 42.4% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.2 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 13.6 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 20.1
Free Throw % 77.3% 74.1%
Ball Control SBON GMU
Rebounds 31.3 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 8.6
Turnovers 9.4 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.3
Steals 6.3 4.0
Fouls 15.7 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SBON GMU
Total Possessions 65.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 62.7
% of Possessions with SBON GMU
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 26.3%
Player Fouled 21.3% 24.0%
Turnover 14.3% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SBON GMU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 28.3%