NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SBON FOR
Points 72.8 66.3
Total Points   139.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 28.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 23.8
Points From Free Throws 19.1 13.6
Shooting SBON FOR
Field Goals Made 23.8 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.4 57.2
Field Goal % 46.2% 39.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 19.1 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 20.3
Free Throw % 77.3% 67.2%
Ball Control SBON FOR
Rebounds 34.7 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 11.5
Turnovers 11.5 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.9
Steals 5.6 5.6
Fouls 15.3 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SBON FOR
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 69.9
% of Possessions with SBON FOR
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 38.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 30.8%
Player Fouled 24.7% 22.0%
Turnover 16.5% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SBON FOR
Shot Blocked 7.0% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 29.9%