NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SBON VCU
Points 65.0 68.5
Total Points   133.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 28.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 25.5
Points From Free Throws 14.7 14.7
Shooting SBON VCU
Field Goals Made 21.8 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 51.7
Field Goal % 39.9% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 28.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 14.7 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 19.1
Free Throw % 77.3% 77.2%
Ball Control SBON VCU
Rebounds 32.5 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 8.0
Turnovers 9.8 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.2
Steals 6.4 4.9
Fouls 14.8 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SBON VCU
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 63.5
% of Possessions with SBON VCU
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 36.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 31.2%
Player Fouled 20.6% 22.1%
Turnover 14.6% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SBON VCU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 25.6%