NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SBON SIE
Points 77.8 56.5
Total Points   134.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 28.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 17.2
Points From Free Throws 14.6 11.0
Shooting SBON SIE
Field Goals Made 27.8 19.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 52.6
Field Goal % 48.1% 37.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 43.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 28.6%
Free Throws Made 14.6 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 16.0
Free Throw % 77.3% 68.7%
Ball Control SBON SIE
Rebounds 34.9 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 10.2
Turnovers 7.8 14.5
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.7
Steals 8.2 3.4
Fouls 13.4 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SBON SIE
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 62.9
% of Possessions with SBON SIE
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 25.3%
Player Fouled 20.2% 20.0%
Turnover 11.6% 21.5%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 12.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SBON SIE
Shot Blocked 5.2% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 29.0%