NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SBON RUTG
Points 67.1 63.6
Total Points   130.7
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 16.6
Points From Free Throws 14.0 14.1
Shooting SBON RUTG
Field Goals Made 22.7 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 56.7
Field Goal % 41.5% 38.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 44.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 28.5%
Free Throws Made 14.0 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 20.8
Free Throw % 77.3% 67.7%
Ball Control SBON RUTG
Rebounds 36.8 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.0
Turnovers 12.6 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.3
Steals 6.3 5.6
Fouls 15.0 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SBON RUTG
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 69.2
% of Possessions with SBON RUTG
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 23.7%
Player Fouled 19.0% 21.8%
Turnover 18.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SBON RUTG
Shot Blocked 7.7% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 28.9%