NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SBON RICH
Points 67.2 68.4
Total Points   135.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 21.8
Points From Free Throws 12.1 11.9
Shooting SBON RICH
Field Goals Made 23.8 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 53.4
Field Goal % 41.7% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 12.1 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 16.6
Free Throw % 77.3% 71.6%
Ball Control SBON RICH
Rebounds 35.7 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 4.8
Turnovers 9.5 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.1
Steals 4.7 4.5
Fouls 14.4 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SBON RICH
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 62.9
% of Possessions with SBON RICH
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 27.3%
Player Fouled 17.8% 21.4%
Turnover 14.2% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SBON RICH
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 15.3%