NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN GRC
Points 63.2 86.1
Total Points   149.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 13.5 30.3
Points From Free Throws 15.1 21.9
Shooting ALCN GRC
Field Goals Made 21.8 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 53.9
Field Goal % 36.8% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 45.4 27.1
2 Point Shooting % 38.0% 62.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 13.8 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 15.1 21.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 28.8
Free Throw % 72.2% 76.0%
Ball Control ALCN GRC
Rebounds 31.9 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 19.7 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 11.4
Turnovers 11.3 10.0
Blocked Shots 1.5 5.7
Steals 5.3 6.7
Fouls 18.4 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Alcorn St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN GRC
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 72.2
% of Possessions with ALCN GRC
2 Point Attempt 53.2% 32.7%
3 Point Attempt 16.2% 32.4%
Player Fouled 21.3% 26.0%
Turnover 16.0% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN GRC
Shot Blocked 10.7% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 36.6%