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Bradley at Valparaiso
Wed Jan 26, 2022
7:00pm ET
Valparaiso, IN
Bradley at Valparaiso: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Bradley by 2.5, Total Points: 137
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BRAD | adv | VALP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-15-2 | 18-13-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-12-0 | 12-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 9-6-1 | 6-10-0 | |
| Away | 8-9-1 | 12-3-0 |
Bradley Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | UAB | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Utah St | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Tarleton St | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Tulane | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Vermont | -5.0 | W by 9 | +4.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Murray St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana St | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Akron | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Cleveland St | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 12/18 | Neutral | Duquesne | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | SIU Edward | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Truman State | -- | W by 22 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | Valparaiso | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Missouri St | -4.5 | W by 26 | +21.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Evansville | -13.0 | W by 36 | +23.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | IL-Chicago | -3.5 | W by 18 | +14.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | S Illinois | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Belmont | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Murray St | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Indiana St | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | N Iowa | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Illinois St | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Evansville | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Drake | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | IL-Chicago | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | N Iowa | -3.0 | L by 11 | -14.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Missouri St | -3.0 | W by 24 | +21.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Illinois St | -12.5 | W by 3 | -9.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | S Illinois | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Drake | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | IL-Chicago | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Drake | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Loyola-Chi | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Cincinnati | +6.5 | L by 17 | -10.5 |
Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Christian | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | IUPUI | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Illinois | +29.5 | L by 23 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | W Illinois | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Southern | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Drake | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Belmont | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Central Mich | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | VA Tech | +21.5 | L by 21 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago St | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Elon | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Bradley | +10.5 | L by 25 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | IL-Chicago | +12.5 | L by 6 | +6.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | S Illinois | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois St | +10.0 | W by 9 | +19.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Evansville | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | S Illinois | +13.5 | L by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Drake | +19.5 | L by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Evansville | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Indiana St | +20.5 | L by 40 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | N Iowa | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Missouri St | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Indiana St | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Murray St | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | N Iowa | +16.0 | L by 14 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Illinois St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Belmont | +14.0 | L by 25 | -11.0 |
| BRAD -1.5 | Open | -1.0 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2330 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Bradley won the game 1297 times (55.7%).
- The team like Valparaiso won the game 1033 times (44.3%).
- The team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 1177-1118-35 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1850 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Bradley did better against the spread, going 964-856-30 (53.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Open | -1.0 | -2.5 | -3.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/26 06:40 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 06:37 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 06:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/26 05:29 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 03:35 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/26 03:29 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 02:35 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/26 02:28 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 12:35 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/26 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/26 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/26 09:01 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 09:00 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/26 08:15 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/26 08:07 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 07:25 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/26 12:40 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 11:55 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/25 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/25 05:45 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/25 05:04 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 03:37 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 02:46 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
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