NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRAD VALP
Points 77.9 60.2
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 41.0 27.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 21.4
Points From Free Throws 11.4 10.8
Shooting BRAD VALP
Field Goals Made 29.0 21.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 58.6
Field Goal % 50.5% 36.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 14.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.3% 38.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 11.4 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 15.4
Free Throw % 74.3% 70.2%
Ball Control BRAD VALP
Rebounds 39.2 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 29.7 21.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.1
Turnovers 10.9 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.9
Steals 6.4 5.6
Fouls 12.9 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Bradley

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRAD VALP
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 68.3
% of Possessions with BRAD VALP
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 27.4%
Player Fouled 19.0% 18.8%
Turnover 15.8% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRAD VALP
Shot Blocked 3.4% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 25.3%