NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN DEP
Points 76.0 78.0
Total Points   154.0
Points From 2-Pointers 44.9 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 28.0
Points From Free Throws 12.6 15.8
Shooting ALCN DEP
Field Goals Made 28.6 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 51.2
Field Goal % 46.7% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made 22.5 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 44.5 27.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 62.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 12.6 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 21.4
Free Throw % 72.2% 73.8%
Ball Control ALCN DEP
Rebounds 33.0 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 6.7
Turnovers 8.8 11.4
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.2
Steals 7.0 4.6
Fouls 17.1 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN DEP
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 64.5
% of Possessions with ALCN DEP
2 Point Attempt 54.2% 36.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 30.9%
Player Fouled 17.9% 24.7%
Turnover 12.7% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN DEP
Shot Blocked 6.4% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 23.8%