NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRAD DRKE
Points 72.7 70.9
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 23.4
Points From Free Throws 11.6 16.2
Shooting BRAD DRKE
Field Goals Made 26.4 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 56.3
Field Goal % 46.8% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 11.6 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 21.6
Free Throw % 74.3% 74.8%
Ball Control BRAD DRKE
Rebounds 34.9 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 8.5
Turnovers 11.3 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 1.0
Steals 5.7 6.1
Fouls 15.4 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Drake

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRAD DRKE
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 69.2
% of Possessions with BRAD DRKE
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 27.4%
Player Fouled 19.3% 22.0%
Turnover 16.1% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRAD DRKE
Shot Blocked 1.8% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 23.9%