NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN WSU
Points 59.2 85.7
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 43.5
Points From 3-Pointers 11.8 27.0
Points From Free Throws 13.4 15.2
Shooting ALCN WSU
Field Goals Made 20.9 30.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 55.8
Field Goal % 36.1% 55.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 45.7 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 37.2% 65.3%
3 Pointers Made 3.9 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 12.4 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 40.0%
Free Throws Made 13.4 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 21.5
Free Throw % 72.2% 71.0%
Ball Control ALCN WSU
Rebounds 27.4 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 18.1 29.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.7
Turnovers 9.1 9.2
Blocked Shots 1.2 5.9
Steals 5.0 4.4
Fouls 16.3 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Wash State

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN WSU
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 69.6
% of Possessions with ALCN WSU
2 Point Attempt 57.3% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 15.5% 28.3%
Player Fouled 20.3% 23.9%
Turnover 13.3% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN WSU
Shot Blocked 10.6% 2.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 37.2%