NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN HOU
Points 54.1 90.6
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 26.2 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 12.8 34.1
Points From Free Throws 15.0 15.6
Shooting ALCN HOU
Field Goals Made 17.4 31.8
Field Goals Attempted 51.7 60.0
Field Goal % 33.6% 53.0%
2 Pointers Made 13.1 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 35.2% 63.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 14.4 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 40.8%
Free Throws Made 15.0 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 22.0
Free Throw % 72.2% 71.1%
Ball Control ALCN HOU
Rebounds 29.1 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 18.4 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 13.7
Turnovers 13.5 6.6
Blocked Shots 1.1 6.8
Steals 3.8 8.2
Fouls 15.1 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Alcorn St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN HOU
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 74.0
% of Possessions with ALCN HOU
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 39.6%
3 Point Attempt 18.0% 34.4%
Player Fouled 22.4% 22.6%
Turnover 20.2% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 12.2% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN HOU
Shot Blocked 11.4% 2.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 42.7%