NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRAD UIC
Points 73.1 63.1
Total Points   136.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 26.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 25.0
Points From Free Throws 13.8 11.8
Shooting BRAD UIC
Field Goals Made 25.9 21.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 56.6
Field Goal % 45.8% 38.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 13.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 39.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 13.8 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 17.1
Free Throw % 74.3% 68.8%
Ball Control BRAD UIC
Rebounds 38.1 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 8.4
Turnovers 11.3 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.8 3.0
Steals 6.9 6.0
Fouls 13.0 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Bradley

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRAD UIC
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 66.6
% of Possessions with BRAD UIC
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 29.2%
Player Fouled 20.7% 18.3%
Turnover 16.0% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRAD UIC
Shot Blocked 5.4% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 22.3%