NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN TULN
Points 75.3 88.3
Total Points   163.6
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 29.3
Points From Free Throws 15.6 20.0
Shooting ALCN TULN
Field Goals Made 26.7 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 63.6 53.3
Field Goal % 41.9% 54.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 45.7 29.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 66.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 15.6 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 27.9
Free Throw % 72.2% 71.6%
Ball Control ALCN TULN
Rebounds 36.4 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 5.6
Turnovers 10.1 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.2
Steals 5.7 6.1
Fouls 18.7 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Alcorn St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN TULN
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 76.8 69.9
% of Possessions with ALCN TULN
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 30.1%
Player Fouled 19.7% 25.4%
Turnover 13.7% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN TULN
Shot Blocked 7.9% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 19.6%