NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRAD STJOE
Points 72.9 69.2
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 27.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 28.2
Points From Free Throws 10.7 13.4
Shooting BRAD STJOE
Field Goals Made 26.6 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 57.9
Field Goal % 45.4% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.1 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 10.7 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 18.7
Free Throw % 74.3% 71.9%
Ball Control BRAD STJOE
Rebounds 36.1 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.9
Turnovers 11.1 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.8 2.2
Steals 6.7 6.8
Fouls 13.9 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: St Josephs

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRAD STJOE
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 69.1
% of Possessions with BRAD STJOE
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 33.2%
Player Fouled 17.4% 20.0%
Turnover 16.0% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRAD STJOE
Shot Blocked 3.9% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 29.2%