NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRAD SDST
Points 75.7 64.9
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.6 28.2
Points From 3-Pointers 34.2 23.4
Points From Free Throws 9.9 13.3
Shooting BRAD SDST
Field Goals Made 27.2 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 54.4
Field Goal % 47.0% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 28.3 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 43.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 29.5 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 9.9 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 18.1
Free Throw % 74.3% 73.3%
Ball Control BRAD SDST
Rebounds 35.1 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 8.1
Turnovers 10.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.3 1.5
Steals 7.3 5.5
Fouls 15.1 11.7

Playing Style Advantage: Bradley

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRAD SDST
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 65.1
% of Possessions with BRAD SDST
2 Point Attempt 36.5% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 38.2% 28.6%
Player Fouled 17.1% 22.0%
Turnover 15.0% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRAD SDST
Shot Blocked 2.9% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 23.2%