NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN SOU
Points 70.0 72.8
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 14.2 26.7
Points From Free Throws 19.5 12.9
Shooting ALCN SOU
Field Goals Made 22.8 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 53.7
Field Goal % 44.2% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 14.0 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 19.5 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 27.1 19.8
Free Throw % 72.2% 65.3%
Ball Control ALCN SOU
Rebounds 34.9 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 8.5
Turnovers 12.5 11.8
Blocked Shots 1.5 4.3
Steals 5.4 6.5
Fouls 15.8 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Alcorn St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN SOU
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 66.4
% of Possessions with ALCN SOU
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 17.0% 31.3%
Player Fouled 25.7% 22.6%
Turnover 17.9% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN SOU
Shot Blocked 8.1% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 33.7% 26.3%