NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN MILW
Points 77.0 87.1
Total Points   164.1
Points From 2-Pointers 43.3 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 30.3
Points From Free Throws 16.7 17.4
Shooting ALCN MILW
Field Goals Made 27.3 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 59.4
Field Goal % 42.8% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.7 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 47.5 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 63.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 28.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 16.7 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 23.7
Free Throw % 72.2% 73.5%
Ball Control ALCN MILW
Rebounds 34.9 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 12.3
Turnovers 8.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.8
Steals 5.8 4.5
Fouls 16.5 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Alcorn St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN MILW
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 77.6 74.4
% of Possessions with ALCN MILW
2 Point Attempt 53.7% 36.1%
3 Point Attempt 18.5% 33.2%
Player Fouled 21.7% 22.8%
Turnover 12.2% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN MILW
Shot Blocked 8.1% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 35.1% 36.9%