NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRAD UNI
Points 72.1 64.7
Total Points   136.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 28.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.4 19.3
Points From Free Throws 11.0 16.9
Shooting BRAD UNI
Field Goals Made 26.0 20.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 52.6
Field Goal % 47.2% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.3 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 43.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 11.0 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 23.8
Free Throw % 74.3% 70.8%
Ball Control BRAD UNI
Rebounds 34.5 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 8.5
Turnovers 11.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 1.5
Steals 6.2 6.3
Fouls 16.0 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: N Iowa

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRAD UNI
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 66.7
% of Possessions with BRAD UNI
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 25.0%
Player Fouled 20.2% 23.5%
Turnover 16.2% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRAD UNI
Shot Blocked 3.0% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 23.7%