NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN FAMU
Points 77.8 72.6
Total Points   150.5
Points From 2-Pointers 43.2 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 22.0
Points From Free Throws 17.5 10.5
Shooting ALCN FAMU
Field Goals Made 27.3 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 57.1
Field Goal % 46.5% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.6 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 17.5 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 15.5
Free Throw % 72.2% 68.1%
Ball Control ALCN FAMU
Rebounds 36.2 31.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 8.6
Turnovers 9.3 12.3
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.0
Steals 6.8 4.8
Fouls 13.5 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Florida A&M

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN FAMU
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 67.1
% of Possessions with ALCN FAMU
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 25.4%
Player Fouled 22.3% 19.1%
Turnover 13.2% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN FAMU
Shot Blocked 5.2% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 34.8% 26.5%