NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRAD ILST
Points 71.1 59.8
Total Points   130.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 27.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 16.9
Points From Free Throws 9.9 15.2
Shooting BRAD ILST
Field Goals Made 26.3 19.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 52.6
Field Goal % 47.3% 37.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 42.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 28.5%
Free Throws Made 9.9 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 20.8
Free Throw % 74.3% 73.0%
Ball Control BRAD ILST
Rebounds 34.2 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 10.3
Turnovers 9.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.2 1.3
Steals 5.3 5.2
Fouls 15.4 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Illinois St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRAD ILST
Total Possessions 65.7
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 65.3
% of Possessions with BRAD ILST
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 25.4%
Player Fouled 19.7% 23.5%
Turnover 15.1% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRAD ILST
Shot Blocked 2.5% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 28.7%