NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN TXSO
Points 72.9 76.3
Total Points   149.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.3 28.7
Points From Free Throws 17.9 13.9
Shooting ALCN TXSO
Field Goals Made 24.9 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 58.3
Field Goal % 43.3% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 17.9 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 18.9
Free Throw % 72.2% 73.6%
Ball Control ALCN TXSO
Rebounds 37.1 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 10.1
Turnovers 10.1 10.1
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.9
Steals 5.5 5.6
Fouls 14.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Alcorn St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN TXSO
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 70.4
% of Possessions with ALCN TXSO
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 37.5%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 34.3%
Player Fouled 23.1% 21.1%
Turnover 14.4% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN TXSO
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 34.4% 29.2%