NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN TENN
Points 58.5 92.7
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 14.5 38.8
Points From Free Throws 14.5 18.3
Shooting ALCN TENN
Field Goals Made 19.6 30.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 59.0
Field Goal % 33.7% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 27.4
2 Point Shooting % 35.2% 64.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 31.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 40.9%
Free Throws Made 14.5 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 24.2
Free Throw % 72.2% 75.4%
Ball Control ALCN TENN
Rebounds 30.7 42.1
Rebounds - Defensive 19.8 29.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 12.2
Turnovers 11.6 8.2
Blocked Shots 1.0 6.0
Steals 5.1 6.8
Fouls 17.2 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Alcorn St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN TENN
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 74.5
% of Possessions with ALCN TENN
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 33.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.3% 38.1%
Player Fouled 20.2% 24.3%
Turnover 16.5% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN TENN
Shot Blocked 10.2% 1.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 38.1%