NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BSU USU
Points 72.7 72.5
Total Points   145.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.1 15.7
Points From Free Throws 14.8 15.9
Shooting BSU USU
Field Goals Made 25.4 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 53.0
Field Goal % 43.0% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 28.8%
Free Throws Made 14.8 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 21.9
Free Throw % 74.3% 72.5%
Ball Control BSU USU
Rebounds 34.9 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 6.3
Turnovers 9.2 9.8
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.9
Steals 5.2 5.0
Fouls 17.0 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BSU USU
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 66.4
% of Possessions with BSU USU
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 23.7%
Player Fouled 21.5% 24.3%
Turnover 13.2% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BSU USU
Shot Blocked 7.5% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 20.4%