NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WMU BUT
Points 67.3 82.7
Total Points   150.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 27.4
Points From Free Throws 8.3 15.0
Shooting WMU BUT
Field Goals Made 25.8 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 63.4 61.1
Field Goal % 40.7% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 8.3 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 18.7
Free Throw % 61.5% 80.1%
Ball Control WMU BUT
Rebounds 36.9 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 8.9
Turnovers 11.9 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.1
Steals 5.1 6.2
Fouls 14.8 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: W Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WMU BUT
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 72.3
% of Possessions with WMU BUT
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 29.8%
Player Fouled 17.2% 20.4%
Turnover 16.4% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WMU BUT
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 26.5%