NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCU STAN
Points 77.1 75.7
Total Points   152.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 23.0
Points From Free Throws 10.6 15.0
Shooting SCU STAN
Field Goals Made 28.8 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 63.3 58.1
Field Goal % 45.4% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 10.6 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 20.3
Free Throw % 69.6% 73.9%
Ball Control SCU STAN
Rebounds 38.6 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 7.0
Turnovers 11.2 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.3
Steals 4.8 5.5
Fouls 16.7 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Santa Clara

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCU STAN
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.3 70.5
% of Possessions with SCU STAN
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 28.9%
Player Fouled 18.3% 22.7%
Turnover 15.2% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCU STAN
Shot Blocked 4.1% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 20.1%