NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WMU BALL
Points 71.4 73.7
Total Points   145.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 23.1
Points From Free Throws 10.9 17.4
Shooting WMU BALL
Field Goals Made 26.3 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 55.9
Field Goal % 43.4% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 10.9 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 22.4
Free Throw % 61.5% 77.8%
Ball Control WMU BALL
Rebounds 38.4 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 8.7
Turnovers 11.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.8
Steals 4.8 5.1
Fouls 17.5 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: W Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WMU BALL
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 69.4
% of Possessions with WMU BALL
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 26.3%
Player Fouled 19.7% 24.6%
Turnover 15.9% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WMU BALL
Shot Blocked 3.3% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 33.5% 25.3%