NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WMU DAY
Points 62.0 81.2
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 29.9
Points From Free Throws 7.7 15.6
Shooting WMU DAY
Field Goals Made 23.2 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 55.6
Field Goal % 38.8% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 40.9%
Free Throws Made 7.7 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 12.5 20.8
Free Throw % 61.5% 74.7%
Ball Control WMU DAY
Rebounds 33.9 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 8.1
Turnovers 11.2 8.3
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.2
Steals 3.8 5.9
Fouls 15.5 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: W Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WMU DAY
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 68.1
% of Possessions with WMU DAY
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 31.5%
Player Fouled 17.8% 22.7%
Turnover 16.4% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WMU DAY
Shot Blocked 4.1% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 26.5%