NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BSU TLSA
Points 78.7 64.8
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 16.5
Points From Free Throws 17.6 16.1
Shooting BSU TLSA
Field Goals Made 26.4 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 50.9
Field Goal % 45.4% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 26.7%
Free Throws Made 17.6 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 21.9
Free Throw % 74.3% 73.6%
Ball Control BSU TLSA
Rebounds 39.4 28.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 5.4
Turnovers 10.2 12.2
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.7
Steals 6.0 5.7
Fouls 16.9 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Tulsa

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BSU TLSA
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 64.3
% of Possessions with BSU TLSA
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 26.7%
Player Fouled 22.6% 23.8%
Turnover 14.3% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BSU TLSA
Shot Blocked 5.3% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.2% 16.4%