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W Michigan at N Illinois
Sat Jan 25, 2020
4:00pm ET
DeKalb, IL
W Michigan at N Illinois: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Northern Illinois by 5.5, Total Points: 134
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WMU | adv | NIU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-14-0 | 10-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-7-0 | 5-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 7-6-0 | 2-10-0 | |
| Away | 10-8-0 | 8-9-0 |
W Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Dakota St | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Georgia St | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Northwestern | +23.5 | L by 4 | +19.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Ohio St | +21.5 | L by 17 | +4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | SE Louisiana | +2.0 | W by 1 | +3.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Mercer | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | St. Thomas | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Notre Dame | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Youngs St | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | IL-Chicago | +11.5 | L by 21 | -9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Cleveland St | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Aquinas | -- | W by 56 | -- |
| 01/02 | Away | Miami (OH) | +5.0 | W by 9 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Buffalo | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | N Illinois | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ohio | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Akron | +14.0 | L by 11 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Bowling Grn | +9.0 | L by 5 | +4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | E Michigan | -4.5 | W by 17 | +12.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Central Mich | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Toledo | +11.5 | L by 25 | -13.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Ball St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Kent St | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Mississippi | +7.5 | L by 32 | -24.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Central Mich | +5.5 | L by 27 | -21.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Miami (OH) | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Buffalo | -6.0 | W by 19 | +13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | E Michigan | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Ball St | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Bowling Grn | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Akron | +9.0 | W by 6 | +15.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Ohio | +9.0 | L by 27 | -18.0 |
N Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Marquette | +25.0 | L by 22 | +3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | App State | +3.5 | W by 13 | +16.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Illinois Tech | -- | W by 52 | -- |
| 11/17 | Away | Georgia St | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | AR Lit Rock | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | DePaul | +3.5 | W by 10 | +13.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | Northwestern | +13.5 | L by 22 | -8.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana St | +7.0 | L by 23 | -16.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Monmouth | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Calumet | -- | W by 44 | -- |
| 12/21 | Home | N Iowa | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Iowa | +18.0 | L by 29 | -11.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Akron | +6.0 | L by 22 | -16.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Ohio | +5.0 | L by 12 | -7.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | W Michigan | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Bowling Grn | +1.0 | L by 11 | -10.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Kent St | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Toledo | +5.5 | L by 16 | -10.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Ball St | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Central Mich | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | E Michigan | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Miami (OH) | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Alabama | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Buffalo | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Kent St | +10.0 | L by 38 | -28.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Ball St | -1.0 | L by 7 | -8.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Ohio | +7.5 | L by 21 | -13.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Toledo | +15.5 | W by 3 | +18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Akron | +17.0 | L by 7 | +10.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Central Mich | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Buffalo | -1.5 | W by 10 | +8.5 |
| NIU -5.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2987 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Northern Illinois won the game 2074 times (69.4%).
- The team like Western Michigan won the game 913 times (30.6%).
- The team like Northern Illinois did better against the spread, going 1486-1452-49 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3226 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Western Michigan did better against the spread, going 1586-1580-60 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -6.5 | -5.5 |
| Open | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/25 01:13 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 01/25 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/25 09:26 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 10:55 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 01/24 08:32 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 01/24 07:04 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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