NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WMU NIU
Points 74.3 73.1
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 22.9
Points From Free Throws 14.0 15.2
Shooting WMU NIU
Field Goals Made 25.8 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 57.8
Field Goal % 42.5% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 14.0 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 22.6
Free Throw % 61.5% 67.4%
Ball Control WMU NIU
Rebounds 40.6 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 10.4
Turnovers 10.5 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.9
Steals 4.8 4.6
Fouls 17.2 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: W Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WMU NIU
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 75.4 71.9
% of Possessions with WMU NIU
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 27.5%
Player Fouled 22.0% 24.0%
Turnover 14.6% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WMU NIU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 35.2% 28.1%