NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WMU PFW
Points 67.8 77.1
Total Points   144.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 28.1
Points From Free Throws 12.1 12.4
Shooting WMU PFW
Field Goals Made 24.1 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 62.3
Field Goal % 44.1% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 12.1 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 17.2
Free Throw % 61.5% 71.8%
Ball Control WMU PFW
Rebounds 39.8 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 8.0
Turnovers 15.8 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.0
Steals 4.0 9.0
Fouls 14.3 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: IPFW

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WMU PFW
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 72.6
% of Possessions with WMU PFW
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 31.8%
Player Fouled 21.5% 19.5%
Turnover 21.5% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 12.2% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WMU PFW
Shot Blocked 3.2% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 21.5%