NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BSU CSN
Points 79.0 66.0
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 28.7 12.1
Points From Free Throws 19.8 13.6
Shooting BSU CSN
Field Goals Made 24.8 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 55.0
Field Goal % 43.0% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 29.7 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 4.0
3 Pointers Attempted 27.9 15.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 27.0%
Free Throws Made 19.8 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 26.7 20.1
Free Throw % 74.3% 67.7%
Ball Control BSU CSN
Rebounds 38.3 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 7.6
Turnovers 10.0 12.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.1
Steals 6.8 5.3
Fouls 16.6 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Cal St Nrdge

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BSU CSN
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 67.3
% of Possessions with BSU CSN
2 Point Attempt 34.9% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 18.4%
Player Fouled 26.6% 22.9%
Turnover 13.8% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BSU CSN
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 22.1%