NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BSU CSU
Points 69.1 68.9
Total Points   137.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 17.3
Points From Free Throws 15.2 13.3
Shooting BSU CSU
Field Goals Made 23.6 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 51.8
Field Goal % 42.2% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 60.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 28.8%
Free Throws Made 15.2 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 17.9
Free Throw % 74.3% 74.7%
Ball Control BSU CSU
Rebounds 35.2 29.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 5.4
Turnovers 9.3 9.7
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.0
Steals 4.6 4.6
Fouls 16.1 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BSU CSU
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 62.6
% of Possessions with BSU CSU
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 27.4%
Player Fouled 22.9% 24.1%
Turnover 13.8% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BSU CSU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 18.4%