NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BSU CSU
Points 69.1 70.7
Total Points   139.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 23.7
Points From Free Throws 16.0 13.1
Shooting BSU CSU
Field Goals Made 23.0 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.8 51.7
Field Goal % 43.5% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 30.0 31.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 16.0 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 16.6
Free Throw % 77.6% 79.1%
Ball Control BSU CSU
Rebounds 32.3 28.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 5.3
Turnovers 9.2 9.5
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.2
Steals 4.5 3.6
Fouls 15.5 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BSU CSU
Total Possessions 65.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 61.7
% of Possessions with BSU CSU
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 28.3%
Player Fouled 24.3% 23.6%
Turnover 13.9% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BSU CSU
Shot Blocked 4.2% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 18.6%